The structure behind the move.

Every market move has structure behind it. MDE measures that structure at four scales — where the cycle is, what regime sits inside it, how pressure is resolving into price today, and how far a move can extend — then states which trades those conditions permit, and what would invalidate them.

Every reading is point-in-time: it uses only the data that existed on its own date, never today's revised numbers.

years

CYCLE

Where the economy sits in its cycle — growth and inflation momentum, measured as rates of change rather than levels.

months

REGIME

The liquidity conditions inside that cycle — whether dollar liquidity is being added or drained, and how it stands against the size of the economy.

days

RESOLUTION

How pressure is resolving into price right now — whether a move is fresh positioning, or someone closing out.

any

FRAGILITY

How far a move can extend if it comes, independent of which way it goes.

output

SETUP

What those four conditions permit, what would confirm it, and what would invalidate it. Conditions, never a call.

Plans

One plan, three lengths. It covers all five paid products — LDA Lobbying, Fuel Fragility, Federal Contracts, Market Decision Engine — CYCLE and MDE — REGIME — at one rate, on either rail.

Monthly

$24
$24.00 / month
Sign in to buy

7 days free on card, or pay with crypto

3 months, paid up front

$63
$21.00 / month · save 12%
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7 days free on card, or pay with crypto

12 months, paid up front

$204
$17.00 / month · save 29%
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7 days free on card, or pay with crypto

Founding — available now

$24/ month
Or $63 for 3 months, $204 for 12
Every tier as it ships, at no extra cost
Available now
  • ✓1 of 5 tiers today
  • ✓CYCLE — available now
  • ✓REGIME — available now
  • ✓RESOLUTION — included when it ships
  • ✓FRAGILITY — included when it ships
  • ✓SETUP — included when it ships
  • ✓All five paid products
Choose a length above

Card or crypto · cancel any time

Standard

$49–79/ month
Q4 release
Subscribers receive all tiers as they ship
Planned
  • ✓5 of 5 tiers
  • ✓CYCLE — available now
  • ✓REGIME — available now
  • ✓RESOLUTION — in development
  • ✓FRAGILITY — in development
  • ✓SETUP — in development
  • ✓Everything in the current plan

Coming soon

What the subscription includes

The five paid products

  • Market Decision Engine — CYCLE. Where the economy sits in its cycle, point-in-time: every reading uses only the data that existed on its own date.
  • MDE — REGIME. Is liquidity being added or drained, and is it abundant or scarce? US net liquidity by direction and by level relative to the economy, with the driving component shown and a separate global liquidity panel. Context, not a trading signal.
  • LDA Lobbying. Senate lobbying filings, with our own map from tickers to the clients and registrants that filed.
  • Federal Contracts. Federal contract awards and their modifications, including what the source quietly revised and when.
  • Fuel Fragility. Retail fuel prices and the fragility components computed from them, shown rather than hidden.

Free with any account

  • Capitol Trades. Congressional equity disclosures filed under the STOCK Act.
  • Crypto GEX. Options gamma positioning.
  • Positioning. Futures open interest and funding.

Free products need an account, not a subscription. They stay free.

The three tiers still in development

RESOLUTION, FRAGILITY and SETUP are not built yet. They arrive as described in the terms — included at no extra cost for the term already paid, when they ship. Nothing here charges for them in advance, and nothing promises a date.

How you can pay

Card

Processed by Stripe. Your card details are entered on Stripe’s own page and never reach this site.

  • Auto-renew. Charged each period until you turn it off. On the monthly plan that starts with 7 days free, if you have not had a trial before.
  • One-time. Turn auto-renew off at checkout and buy a single block of access that does not recur.

Crypto

USDC or USDT on Solana, sent from your own wallet. We never hold your keys.

  • You need a little SOL in the same wallet for the network fee.
  • Nothing renews — a crypto term simply ends on its date, and paying again adds to what you have rather than replacing it.
  • Arbitrum and Base: coming soon.

Changed your mind? Full refund within 30 days of payment; after that, pro-rata for unused whole months. Crypto refunds are the US dollar value you paid, returned to the wallet it came from. Read the refund terms →

How the Trial Works

Card collected at signup. Charged automatically on day eight unless you cancel.

Day 1

Card details entered. Nothing is charged.

Days 1 – 7

Full access. Cancel and you are not charged.

Day 8

Card charged $24, then monthly.

Any time

Cancel from your account. Access ends immediately.

API access

Programmatic access to the data behind these products — federal contract awards with their modifications and revisions, lobbying filings with the ticker↔filer map, and retail fuel fragility.

Personal

$39/ month
or $390 / year
Non-commercial use by one named person
  • Federal contract awards, modifications and revisions
  • Lobbying filings with the ticker-to-filer map
  • Retail fuel prices and the fragility components
  • 60 requests/minute, 5,000/day
  • One bulk history download a month
  • No redistribution

Professional

$399/ month
or $3,990 / year
Internal commercial use inside one company
  • Every dataset in the launch scope
  • 600 requests/minute, 100,000/day
  • 25 million rows a month
  • Thirty bulk history downloads a month
  • Internal research, dashboards and trading decisions
  • No redistribution to your own users

Enterprise

By quote
invoiced, not self-serve
Redistribution to your own users
  • Scoped redistribution rights
  • Negotiated limits and quotas
  • Scheduled bulk drops to your own storage
  • 99.9% availability commitment
  • Twelve months' notice on breaking changes

Nothing here is for sale yet. There are no endpoints and no API keys; these tiers are a design, and the waitlist is how we find out which of them is worth building. Prices may change before launch, and the Professional figure is a range because it has not been set. Redistribution of some underlying data needs licences we do not hold, so a dataset you ask for may arrive later than the others — or not at all, in which case we will tell you that rather than quietly leave it out.